Multifamily Buildings to Lead U.S. Construction Gains-
Feb. 13 (Bloomberg) — Construction of multifamily units will lead the U.S. building industry again this year, allowing housing to contribute to growth for the first time in seven years, according to...
View ArticleEconomists Prove Einstein’s Theory About Repeating Behavior And Expecting...
Mainstream economic theory (MsET) has two fundamental tenets that most thoughtful people (even economists) realize are wrong and yet economic decisions and importantly even Fed policy is still based on...
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Bad Economic Theory caused the financial collapse along with greed,...
Last week in Economists Prove Einstein’s Theory About Repeating Behavior And Expecting Different Results I was talking about how mainstream economists have earned their dismal reputation because I’ve...
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A new (and simple to understand) economic model that actually works- Via...
Three related research pieces from the guy about whom former Fed Chairman Paul Volcker said had a degree of detail that is “mind-blowing” and admits to feeling sometimes that “he has a bigger staff,...
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European debt-crisis issues are lessons for the US. We’re just a few years...
European debt-crisis issues are lessons for the US. They belong in the political debate. Both political parties are responsible for our growing debt issues. Bush ran up huge deficits. Obama continued...
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Apartment building investments good for the ‘Age of Deleveraging’ Says author...
Apartment building investments are a top choice according to Gary Shilling, one of the world’s foremost economic forecasters, a long-time Forbes columnist, publisher of Insight Newsletter with his...
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Q3 Apartment Building Investment Reports Now Available From Marcus & Millichap
M&M covers 39 major apartment building investment markets in the US and have just published their Q3 reports. Here’s a list of the metros they cover: They also provide snapshots of the Office,...
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The Cult of Stocks is dying, and at 0% rates bonds have nowhere to go but...
Bill ‘The Bond King’ Gross, founder of PIMCO says that the long run of stocks outperforming the overall economy is done and that the only policy option left for the ‘advanced’ economies in the world is...
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A Family Inflation Gauge for Everyday Americans; rent, food, energy, medical...
Yes the Fed is fighting DEflation but it sure doesn’t feel like deflation when we go to the store or pull up to the gas pump. While I am glad that Ben is battling the correct demon, it would be very...
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Update on the 10yr Treasury rate which drives Multifamily, Commercial Real...
In the Analysis on Tapering QE3 post Tuesday I included a chart of the US 10 year Treasury rates and you could see them going vertical in the days since the Fed announcement and Bernanke’s press...
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Update on Recession Probability: Rough Seas Ahead?
Back in March I posted a FRED chart that Bill McBride over at Calculated Risk shared tracking a set of data that pretty reliably coincides with recessions. Even better is that in almost fifty years of...
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Don’t worry, be happy. US recession chances ‘smoothed’ away.
Three weeks ago we posted an update on the probability of recession that had jumped up into the warning zone: Update on Recession Probability: Rough Seas Ahead? The chart from the St. Louis Fed’s FRED...
View ArticleQE is the connection between international tensions and your investments- Dr....
Video: Dr. Philippa Malmgren explaining the connection between your investments and all the geopolitical wrangling taking place right now. The exec sum: Leading industrialized nations carry (and...
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How to Prevent Politics from Causing ‘Black Swans’ in your Apartment and CRE...
As apartment building investors it’s easy to get so deep into the trenches of our market sector that we get blindsided by political events that don’t make any sense from an economic or investment...
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10yr #Multifamily Investment Loan Rate Comes Back to Life, Rises 7.9 Basis...
The 10 year apartment building investment loan rate we track moved up to 4.454% from 4.375% yesterday after flatlining at the old rate since the middle of January: Even so it is still below what we...
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Fed Chair Yellen- Maybe we are turning Japanese
“Here, Japan’s recent history may be instructive: As shown in figure 9, survey measures of longer-term expected inflation in that country remained positive and stable even as that country experienced...
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